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| Stoves Archive for January 2001 |
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| 54 messages, last added Tue Nov 26 17:30:30 2002 |
[Date Index][Thread Index]
Global warming elsewhere...
Dear Doug, Peter, Stoves and Gasification:
I am as interested in GW as anyone on this list, and have expressed my controversial views often here. (Using up fossil fuel will avert the next ice age which is now overdue, etc.)
I like what Peter says below in its analysis and modesty. I resent the GW mafia that dictates that because they are a majority, they must be correct. (One with God constitutes a majority!)
I DO believe that most of the prescriptions against GW are correct and that we should stop burning up fossil fuel so fast, save a little for our kids and find alternatives before it is too late.
Maybe we have heard all the possible arguments and may have to wait for the future to guide us....
~~~~~~~
We here in GASIFICATION and STOVES are working to do all the right things.
Therefore, I humbly suggest that we divert the GW discussion to BIOENERGY or some other place that CREST can designate, and get to the business of
BETTER GASIFIERS and BETTER STOVES.
Your administrator, TOM REED
In a message dated 1/2/01 6:04:56 AM Mountain Standard Time, snkm@btl.net writes:
**********Snipped***********
>Particle size and the dark colouring of the soot. incompletely burnt
>particles and dust are thought to be above the level where rain would wash
>them out of the atmosphere. So, pardon the pun, The Burning Question is
>what specific role does CO2, methane etc play in this process.
Drought! Part of the cascade!
http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/paleo/drought/drght_home.html
Gives a broad look at this subject in connection with global warming.
I few years back drought caused the burning of large areas of forest here
in Central America. The smoke from this reached to the Mid-West USA.
That was just a small event! A "taste" if you will.
Also the reason why I used the Sagan model.
Climate Change due to global warming leads to severe drought. Eventually we
have the mother of all forest fires. This blocks sun's rays. Plummets
temperatures. Triggers ice age.
A little bit of extra CO2 could trigger this cascade of events.
What do we really know??
"Global Warming is accepted as fact by most of the scientific
community. However, Greenhouse Warming is more controversial because
it implies that we know what is causing the Earth to warm. Although
it is known for certain that atmospheric concentrations of these
greenhouse gases are rising dramatically due to human activity, it is
less well known exactly how increases in these greenhouse gases
factor in the observed changes of the Earth's climate and global
temperatures."
There are so many variables to be concerned with. Apparently computer
modeling of CO2 increase fits well with the actual climatic changes we are
witnessing -- in this past ten years.
Maybe in this present situation -- weather patterns of the past 1000'nds of
years is of no practical value in plotting future weather. We have added
some new variables.
Still -- this is the present "bottom-line":
"The last decade of the 20th Century was the warmest in the entire
global instrumental temperature record, starting in the mid-19th
century. All 10 years rank among the 15 warmest, and include the 6
warmest years on record.This warmth is unusual for the past century,
but what about in the context of past centuries or millennia? It is
only through the reconstruction of past climate that we can truly
evaluate the magnitude of this warming."
The message of "Cry-Wolf" is that once a subject of alarm is presented to
often and/or to passionately -- people become inured to any real danger later.
Keep an open mind! Do not disregard CO2 from fossil fuel combustion as a
non-viable reason for global warming simply because mass-media is pushing
this view.
The global weather situation is always an incredible balance of countless
variables. We do not know just how small a change in any variable will
trigger a cascade of changes.
An incredibly huge amount of fossil fuels have been converted to free CO2
in the past 50 years at an ever escalating rate -- enough to make a
measurable difference in our atmosphere. Can anyone be so sure this makes
no difference to our global climatic conditions?
What else is there to actually point a finger at?
Peter Singfield / Belize
The Gasification List is sponsored by
USDOE BioPower Program http://www.eren.doe.gov/biopower/
and PRM Energy Systems http://www.prmenergy.com
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