Renewable Energy Policy Outside the United States
Part 2: Denmark's Wind Energy Program |
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One of the greatest barriers to robust renewable energy support by the U.S. government is the notion that government programs necessarily create a reliance on subsidies that is ultimately self-defeating. In reality, properly designed and implemented programs can gradually coax an industry and specific technologies into commercial maturity. This is illustrated by the Danish government's coordinated and systematic efforts to build a wind industry that must now be considered the world's best. Governmental support has made this small country not only a major center of wind power, but an industrial center for what is currently the only renewable energy technology that can compete head-to-head with fossil fuels in terms of costsand the fastest growing energy source in the world.9 Denmark is now manufacturing about 1 gigawatt of wind capacity a year, the rough equivalent of two large nuclear or coal-fired power stations, and creating about 16,000 jobs at the same time. Denmark's success in the development of a wind turbine industry has been measurable: in 1983, Denmark exported 20 MW of wind turbines while in 1997 Danish wind turbine exports reached 681 MW. At home, wind energy generated 27 GWH of electricity in 1983 and steadily increased in each consecutive year to 1830 GWH of electricity in 1997. Although Germany has recently overtaken Denmark in terms of installed wind capacity, the Danish wind turbine industry still produces more equipment than all other nations combined in the fast-growing global market. After establishing both a stable home market as the basis for development of wind turbine technology and a strong export sector, the Danish government is now extending that model into other areas of energy as well, including combined heat and power. Wind turbines now constitute the nation's second most important export. Recently, sales of wind turbines in Denmark and elsewhere have been spurred by the need to reduce carbon emissions. Denmark's "Energy 21" policy aims to bring national carbon dioxide emissions by 2005 to 20% below the levels in 1988. Launched in 1996, Energy 21's goals for the longer term are even more ambitious: to halve carbon dioxide emissions by 2030.10 Clearly, however, Danish wind power development predates current concerns over climate change. To stimulate the development of wind energy, the Danish government has relied principally on a combination of taxes and subsidies. Relatively simple at its outset in the 1970s, wind policy became more complex in the 1990s with the introduction of new taxes designed to cope with SO2 and CO2 emissions, together with new subsidy schemes. Still, the Danish government has remained fixed on its goal of protecting the environment in a way that also shields and stimulates domestic industry. The Original Incentives Today's wind energy program is part of an overall energy plan published in 1976. Its main objective was to make Denmark less dependent on imported energy, especially oil. Since the mid-1980s, however, environmental concerns have propelled the Danish program. The initial steps taken in Denmark to build the turbine industry included the following:
As a result of these programs, Denmark has seized a position of clear dominance, with 58.5% of global sales in 1997, followed by Germany with 16%, the United Kingdom with 14.1%, and the United States with just 2.4% of global sales. From 1993 to 1995, the wind industry grew at a rate of 50% a year in Denmark, with annual growth rates of 1020% projected through 2000. The Wind Guilds Because of the large size, location in visible wind-swept sites, noise, effect on wildlife, and other impacts of wind turbines, landowners, planners, environmentalists, and others sometimes resist these technologies. In the United States, such "environmental" opposition frequently proves the final barrier to the development of a project. The Danish solution to thisparts of which appear to have evolved independently of any overarching guidance from the governmentwas to allow turbine ownership by guilds or co-operatives, and to require member-owners to live within 3 kilometers of the site. The guilds eventually organized as the Danish Wind Turbine Owners Association, which became a powerful political force. Today, 100,000 Danish families own wind turbines or shares in wind co-operatives. In the mid-1980s, this ownership rule was modified somewhat, to require that guild members live in or within 10 kilometers of the same borough as the turbine and to limit the share of any individual owner to the greater of 6,000 kilowatt-hours (kWh) per year or 135% of that person's electricity consumption. This change was made in part because of pressure from electric utilities, which were seeking to limit private ownership of generating facilities. Under pressure from the various guilds, the law was amended again in 1992 to relax ownership requirements. The geographic area of residency was expanded to include residents of the borough in which the turbine was located and those of neighboring boroughs. The ownership share was increased to the greater of 9,000 kWh per year or 150% of consumption. The rules were expanded further in 1996 to allow ownership of up to 30,000 kWh per year by any person who lived or worked in the borough or who owned a house or real estate there. The guilds played a significant role in the steady technological improvement of Danish turbines by providing regular reports in the membership magazine, Naturlig Energi. Each month Naturlig Energi had a list of all turbines with an indication of what they produced and what technical problems were encountered. This accountability had a positive effect on development. The turbine owners themselves had then the opportunity to explain how well or how badly their turbines produced, and the manufacturers discovered that their own turbines quickly became either a good or a bad advertisement for their business. In the process of development the statistics also showed the importance of good siting. The association and its magazine also played a pivotal role in establishing the credibility of wind power and exploding myths of unreliability and high cost. And it helped create both a market for insurance and a free-standing firm to supply it. As a result, consumers can buy insurance at the same time as a turbine, providing protection not only against damage and losses but also against the risk of a manufacturer going bankrupt within the warranty period. By 1997-, the association had a membership of 2,150 wind turbines, while the turbine guilds had 54,844 members. Danish Taxes With the advent of concerns over local air pollution and global warming, Danish support for wind energy has been revitalized. Denmark levies a tax on all electricity; the basic support mechanism for wind energy is a partial rebate of this tax. The actual tax structure is quite complex, for there are three environment-related taxes: an energy tax that varies for natural gas, unleaded gasoline, diesel fuel, and other energy; a carbon dioxide tax; and a sulfur dioxide tax. Denmark also applies different rates to space heating and to "heavy" and "light" uses of energy. Heavy uses include 35 different energy-intensive production process, such as cement production. The taxes have three specific goals: to reduce CO2 emissions from 1988 levels by 20% by 2005, to reduce SO2 emissions from 1980 levels by 80% by 2000, and to increase the share of Denmark's gross energy consumption provided by renewable energy to 35%or perhaps even 50%by 2030. Of course, the taxes also provide income for the national government. Together, they account for about 7% of domestic revenue. The tax system is further complicated by a set of 15 subsidy schemes related to energy production and consumption. The bulk of these are directed primarily at converting central and electric heating systems to district heating and to expanding and renovating the existing district heating network. But the largest one in terms of money is a production subsidy of 0.27 kroner (3.8¢) per kWh for electricity generated from renewable energy sources. In addition, natural gas generators receive a subsidy of 0.07 kroner (9.7¢) per kWh. These subsidies accounted for about 45% of the total subsidy budget, or about 855 million kroner ($119 million) in 1996. The share is expected to rise in coming years because of the increase in electricity production from natural gas and renewable energy sources. Denmark's New Renewable Portfolio Standard The liberalization of the electricity market has caused Denmark to enact a very recent and fundamental change in its support for renewables: from fixed payments to a renewable portfolio standard (RPS) system. This change is projected to happen gradually over the next decade, and the Danes are working on the details.11 Most importantly, as the shift takes place, a system is being created to insure the survival of existing projects and the continual growth of near-term future renewables. Also, the Danes will maintain current taxes on electricity and carbon dioxide will adapt them to work with the RPS. Very briefly, the RPS works as follows: a target for renewables is legislatively set, usually in terms of a percentage contribution from renewables. Electricity distributors are held responsible for meeting this target in most RPS systems. To meet their obligation, distribution companies may either develop renewable resources themselves or purchase renewable generation credits from other renewable generators as proxies for their own renewable generation. The RPS is competitive because electricity distributors will seek the lowest cost option to meet their obligation. No matter which option is chosen, the extra costs of renewable electricity are handed down to all of the consumers of the distribution company.12 The components of an RPS are all evident in Denmark's new system: renewable implementation targets, the creation of renewable energy certificates with the goal of creating a special market for renewables, and an obligation on all consumers to purchase electricity from renewables. It is notable that a nation recognized for being a world leader in renewable energy has chosen to implement a renewable support mechanism invented in the U.S.13 It should be noted at this stage, however, that the Danish RPS is a hybrid system retaining fixed payment characteristics: it maintains a guaranteed payment of .33 kroners (4.6¢) to renewable generators and then allows the market for renewable energy credits to determine the additional value of the renewable energy credit. This renewable energy credit is bounded between .10 kroner (1.4¢) and .27 kroner (3.8¢) by law. The adoption of an RPS represents a distinct transition from a steady, fixed premium system to a competitive system. This transition is consistent with a worldwide trend toward liberalization of markets. Denmark is moving towards a market system for its renewables to retain consistency with the liberalization in the rest of its electricity sector. The liberalization of its electricity sector, in turn, is consistent with trends in Europe to decrease market barriers between nations. The decision to implement an RPS reflects a definite confidence in the Danish ability to achieve renewables targets, as targets are the focal point of the RPS. The benefits of competition also appear to be desired for the continual evolution of the renewables industry in Denmark: a recent policy paper by the Danish Energy Agency specifically identifies the element of competition to produce cost-effective development of renewables as a major driver for this shift in the renewable program.14 |
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Renewable Energy Policy Outside the United States |
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