Table 2: Weighting of Studies in Production Projections
(Weights: solid = 1.5, partially solid = 1.0, empty = 0.5)

Criteria Consideration Final Weighting
Study # Group
Affiliation
Study Broad
Technology
Specification
Projected
Years
Given
Policy
Assumptions
Total Energy/
Electricity
Needs
Cost of
Conventional
Generation/
Fuel
Tax
Credits/Prod
Incentives
Regional
Specifications
Original
Work
Capacity Production
16, 17 GOVT FEA, 1974 80, 85, 90
15 GOVT ERDA, 1975 85, 00
18 GOVT FEA, 1976 80, 85, 90
5 EPRI EPRI, 1977 1975-2022
21 NGO Lovins, 1977 1975-1990
22 GOVT OTA, 1978 80, 00
1, 3 GOVT CONAES, 1979 80, 85, 90, 00
27 Research STANFORD, 1979 90, 25
2 GOVT CONAES, 1979 80, 85 90, 00
8 GOVT EIA, 1980 1975-2020
26 Research SERI, 1981 1980-2000
28 Research Stoughbaugh and
Yergin, 1981
1980-2000
6 EPRI EPRI, 1982 82, 86, 90
29 GOVT DOE, 1982 1985-2000
30 GOVT DOE, 1983 1985-2010
4 NGO Duedney &
Flavin, 1983
1980-2000
23 GOVT OTA, 1985 1990-2000
10 GOVT EIA, 1990 1990-2030
19 NGO WWI, 1990 1980-2030
24 GOVT OTA, 1995 2000-2030
20 NGO Gipe, 1995 1990-2000
13 GOVT EIA, 1997 1995-2020
25 GOVT PCAST, 1997 1995-2110
7 EPRI EPRI-DOE, 1997 1997-2020
14 GOVT EIA, 1997b NONE

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